Publications

My ORCID page: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7591-2704

In preparation —

  • Michelle L. Maclennan, Michael Haigh, Caroline Holmes, Meghan Sharp, Grant LaChat, Rebecca Baiman, Andrew Orr, Haosu Tang, Shujie Wang, Paul R. Holland, Sihan Li, and Julie Jones. Month-long wintertime sea ice retreat in the Amundsen Sea. In preparation.

  • Kyle S. Mattingly, Michelle L. Maclennan, Joseph Schnaubelt, Christine Shields, Rebecca Baiman, Alexander Y. Massa, Kyle Nardi, Serena Scholz, Rudradutt Thaker, Chen Zhang, Seung H. Baek, Tobias Braun, Victoire Buffet, James Butler, Bo Dong, Vincent Favier, Irina Gorodetskaya, Bin Guan, Marlen Kolbe, Melanie Lauer, Gabrielle Linscott, Juan Lora, Mengqian Lu, Weiming Ma, Sophia Macarewich, Gudrun Magnusdottir, Travis A. O'Brien, Sofie Tiedeck, Sara M. Vallejo-Bernal, Carolina Viceto, Jonathan D. Wille, Jing Yang, Zhenhai Zhang, Xun Zou. The ARTMIP Tier 2 Polar Synthesis: A comparative analysis of polar atmospheric river tracking methods in historical and future climate states. In preparation.

  • Haosu Tang, Sihan Li, Julie Jones, Michelle L. Maclennan, et al. Climate warming pushes the May 2025 atmospheric river-driven heatwave beyond the melting threshold in West Antarctica. In preparation.

  • Susheel Adusumilli, Helen Fricker, and Michelle L. Maclennan. Surface Height Increases from Extreme Snowfall Events Obscure Dynamic Thinning Across Antarctica. In preparation.

  • Phoebe Jackson, Rebecca Dell, Ian Willis, and Michelle L. Maclennan. Atmospheric river drives extreme surface melt event on Roi Baudouin Ice Shelf, Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica. In preparation.

In review —

  • Michelle L. Maclennan, Michael Haigh, Siddharth Gumber, Andrew Orr, Grant LaChat, Rebecca Baiman, Haosu Tang, Thirza N. Feenstra, Paul R. Holland, Tony Phillips, Sihan Li, and Julie M. Jones. Mesoscale structure and ocean impacts of a powerful May 2025 storm at the West Antarctic sea ice margin. Submitted to JGR Atmospheres.

  • Irina Gorodetskaya, Michelle Maclennan, Sergi Gonzalez-Herrero, Claudio Durán-Alarcón, Matilde Rafacho, Brice Boudevilain, Vincent Favier, and Sangjong Park. Observed and Projected Changes in Zero-Degree and Melting-Layer Height over the Antarctic Peninsula and its Ice Shelves.In review at Roy. Soc. Phil. Trans.

  • T. A. O’Brien, K. T. Quagraine, C. Shields, S. R. Scholz, J. M. Lora, S. M. Vallejo-Bernal, S. H. Baek, T. Braun, A. Collow, B. Dong, K. Mattingly, K. Nardi, R. Thaker, Y. Zhou, I. Gorodetskaya, S. Brands, B. Guan, D. Kamnani, R. Leung, M. Lu, M. L. Maclennan, A. Y. Massa, J. G. Pinto, A. M. Ramos, P. A. Ullrich, J. Rutz, J. Schnaubelt, E. J. Shearer, M. F. Wehner, C. M. Zarzycki, C. Zhang, Z. Zhang, K. J. Reid, X. Zou, M. Viale, N. Tilinina, A. Gavrikov, M. Krinitsky, and O. Zolina. Lessons from Ten Years of the Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project.In review at Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.

  • Rebecca Dell, Michelle L. Maclennan, Luke Trusel, and Mahsa Bahrami. Lateral Meltwater Export from Bach Ice Shelf Resumes After 9-Year Hiatus. In review at The Cryosphere.

First-authored, peer-reviewed publications —

  • Michelle L. Maclennan, Andrew C. Winters, Christine A. Shields, Rudradutt Thaker, Léonard Barthelemy, Francis Codron, and Jonathan D. Wille (2025). Rising atmospheric moisture escalates the future impact of atmospheric rivers in the Antarctic climate system. Nature Communications Earth & Environment. DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02333-x

    • Feature article on Comms E&E homepage

  • Michelle L. Maclennan, Jan T. M. Lenaerts, Christine A. Shields, Andrew O. Hoffman, Nander Wever, Megan Thompson-Munson, Andrew C. Winters, Erin C. Pettit, Theodore A. Scambos, and Jonathan D. Wille (2023). Climatology and Surface Impacts of Atmospheric Rivers on West Antarctica. The Cryosphere. DOI: 10.5194/tc-2022-101

    • Highlight Paper

  • Michelle L. Maclennan, Jan T. M. Lenaerts*, Christine A. Shields, and Jonathan D. Wille (2022). Contribution of Atmospheric Rivers to Antarctic Precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2022GL100585

    • *co-first authors

  • Michelle L. Maclennan and Jan T. M. Lenaerts (2021). Large-Scale Atmospheric Drivers of Snowfall Over Thwaites Glacier, Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2021GL093644

Co-authored, peer-reviewed publications —

  • Mohamed Adjou, Susheel Adusumilli, …, Michelle Maclennan, et al. (2026). Antarctica and the Southern Ocean in “State of the Climate in 2025”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-26-0127.1

  • Haosu Tang, Sihan Li, Julie M. Jones, Sergi González-Herrero, Friederike E. L. Otto, Andrew Orr, James A. Screen, Kyle R. Clem, Deniz Bozkurt, Jennifer L. Catto, Charlie C. Suitters, Michelle L. Maclennan, and Yiming Sun (2026). Unprecedented 2024 East Antarctic winter heatwave driven by polar vortex weakening and amplified by anthropogenic warming. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-026-01392-x

  • Rudra Thaker, Stephen Vavrus, Christine Shields, Alice DuVivier, Michelle Maclennan, Marika Holland, and Laura Landrum (2025). Arctic atmospheric rivers in a changing climate and the impacts on sea ice. JGR Atmospheres. DOI: 10.1029/2024JD042521

  • Andrew O. Hoffman, Michelle Maclennan, Jan Lenaerts, Kristine M. Larson, and Knut Christianson (2025). Amundsen Sea Embayment accumulation variability measured with GNSS-IR. The Cryosphere. DOI: 10.5194/tc-19-713-2025

  • Marilyn Raphael, Kyle Clem, …, Michelle Maclennan, et al. (2025). Antarctica and the Southern Ocean in “State of the Climate in 2024”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0087.1

  • Jonathan Wille, Vincent Favier, Irina Gorodetskaya, Cécile Agosta, Rebecca Baiman, Jeb Barrett, Léonard Barthelemy, Burcu Boza, Deniz Bozkurt, Mathieu Casado, Anastasiia Chyhareva, Kyle Clem, Francis Codron, Rajashree Datta, Claudio Durán-Alarcón, Diana Francis, Andrew Hoffman, Marlen Kolbe, Svitlana Krakovska, Gabrielle Linscott, Michelle Maclennan, Kyle Mattingly, Ye Mu, Benjamin Pohl, Christophe Santos, Christine Shields, Emir Toker, Andrew Winters, Ziqi Yin, Xun Zou, Chen Zhang, and Zhenhai Zhang (2025). Atmospheric rivers in Antarctica. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment. DOI: 10.1038/s43017-024-00638-7

  • Ella Gilbert, Denys Pishniak, José Abraham Torres, Andrew Orr, Michelle Maclennan, Nander Wever, and Kristiina Verro (2025). Extreme precipitation associated with atmospheric rivers over West Antarctic ice shelves: insights from kilometre-scale regional climate modelling.The Cryosphere. DOI: 10.5194/tc-19-597-2025

  • Naomi E. Ochwat, Ted A. Scambos, Alison F. Banwell, Robert S. Anderson, Michelle L. Maclennan, Ghislain Picard, Julia A. Shates, Sebastian Marinsek, Liliana Margonari, Martin Truffer, and Erin C. Pettit (2024). Triggers of the 2022 Larsen B multi-year landfast sea ice break-out and initial glacier response. The Cryosphere. DOI: 10.5194/tc-2023-88

  • Kyle Clem, Marilyn Raphael, …, Michelle Maclennan, et al. (2024). Antarctica and the Southern Ocean in “State of the Climate in 2023”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0099.1

  • Jonathan D. Wille, …, Michelle Maclennan, et al. (2024). The extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica “heat” wave. Part II: impacts on the Antarctic ice sheet. Journal of Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0176.1

  • Jonathan D. Wille, …, Michelle Maclennan, et al. (2024). The extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica “heat” wave. Part I: observations and meteorological drivers. Journal of Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0175.1

  • Kyle Clem, Marilyn Raphael, …, Michelle Maclennan, et al. (2023). Antarctica and the Southern Ocean in “State of the Climate in 2022”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0077.1

  • Christine A. Shields, Jonathan D. Wille, Allison B. Marquardt Collow, Michelle Maclennan, and Irina V. Gorodetskaya (2022). Evaluating Uncertainty and Modes of Variability for Antarctic Atmospheric Rivers. Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2022GL099577

  • Kyle Clem, Marilyn Raphael, …, Michelle Maclennan, et al. (2022). Antarctica and the Southern Ocean in “State of the Climate in 2021”.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0078.1

  • Karen E. Alley, Christian T. Wild, Adrian Luckman, Ted A. Scambos, Martin Truffer, Erin C. Pettit, Atsuhiro Muto, Bruce Wallin, Marin Klinger, Tyler Sutterley, Sarah F. Child, Cyrus Hulen, Jan T. M. Lenaerts, Michelle Maclennan, Eric Keenan, and Devon Dunmire (2021). Two decades of dynamic change and progressive destabilization on the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf.The Cryosphere. DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-5187-2021

  • Sharon Stammerjohn, Theodore Scambos, …, Michelle Maclennan, et al (2021). Antarctica and the Southern Ocean in “State of the Climate in 2020”.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0081.1

  • E. Povl Abrahamsen, Sandra Barreira, …, Michelle Maclennan, et al (2020). Antarctica and the Southern Ocean in “State of the Climate in 2019”.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0090.1

  • Natalie M. Freeman, Nicole S. Lovenduski, David R. Munro, Kristen M. Krumhardt, Keith Lindsay, Matthew C. Long, and Michelle Maclennan (2017) The variable and changing South Ocean Silicate Front: Insights from the CESM Large Ensemble.Global Biogeochemical Cycles. DOI: 10.1029/2017GB005816